Friday, May 22, 2026

Friday Morning Dairy Market Update - Spot Prices May Show Further Weakness

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: 2 to 5 Lower
Class IV Milk Futures: 10 to 15 Lower
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 2 to 3 Higher
Soybean Futures: 4 to 5 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: Steady to $1 Lower
Wheat Futures: Steady to 1 Higher

MILK:

Not much is expected in the market Friday. The negativity of the week will be difficult to overcome unless there is unexpected strength in the spot markets. With the aggressive selling that has taken place this week, it is doubtful buyers will turn aggressive. The April Milk Production report will be released this afternoon, and it is not expected to be very supportive to the market. I estimate milk production to be 2.0% above a year ago due to higher cow numbers and production per cow. I estimate cow numbers to be 5,000 head more than in March.

CHEESE:

The weakness of cheese on Thursday may result in buyers continuing to hold back today. Sellers are aggressive and intend to move supplies as quickly as possible and at lower prices. Cheese production is strong, but demand may be slowing due to higher fuel and food prices.

BUTTER:

Sellers remain aggressive, offering a substantial volume of loads to the spot maket. It is not that demand has declined, but that supply is plentiful and manufacturers do not want to have inventory build at the plant level. Buyers are willing to purchase, but are not willing to buy aggressively.




Friday Morning Dairy Market Update - Spot Prices May Show Further Weakness

OPENING CALLS: Class III Milk Futures: 2 to 5 Lower Class IV Milk Futures: 10 to 15 Lower ...