Milk futures closed lower with more weakness
seen in Class IV futures. The price swings in Class III futures were
significant in the closer months as overnight trade was active. The
February Agricultural Prices report was released and showed an increase
in all prices used in the calculation of income over feed.
Class III futures had quite the price swings
in the closer months, beginning with substantially higher trade in the
overnight session. The March contract had a range of $0.91. This
volatility has never before happened in the nearby contract, with only
two days of trading remaining. The April contract moved in a $0.70
range. The May contract moved in a $0.41 range. In the end, most
contracts closed lower. Class IV futures were under pressure despite a
steady butter price and an increase in nonfat dry milk. The February
Agricultural Prices report showed an average corn price of $4.11 per
bushel, up $0.01 from January but down $0.47 from February 2025. The
Supreme/ premium hay price was $229.00, an increase of $3.00 per ton
from January and down $14.00 per ton from February 2025. The All-milk
price was $18.30 per cwt. This was an increase of $0.80 per cwt from
January, but down $5.30 per cwt from February 2025. The average soybean
meal price will be released on Tuesday by the FSA to provide the prices
needed to calculate income over feed for the Dairy Margin Coverage
program. Other prices to take note of are the alfalfa hay price for
February, which was $152 per ton, an increase of $3.00 per ton from
January, and was $2.00 per ton lower than a year ago. The average
soybean meal price was $10.60 per bushel, up $0.30 from January and up
$0.40 from February 2025.
| 3 Month: |
$17.02 |
| 6 Month: |
$17.77 |
| 9 Month: |
$18.10 |
| 12 Month: |
$18.01 |
The increase in the block cheese price had
little influence on Class III futures. There is uncertainty about the
upside price potential as milk output increases and cheese supplies
remain sufficient for demand.
Butter output is higher than a year ago, but
inventory has not been able to reduce the deficit of a year ago. Strong
demand is keeping inventory from building significantly. This will
support the market, but increased production may limit the upside price
potential.
May corn closed down 6.25 cents per bushel at
$4.5575, May soybeans closed up .50 cent at $11.5975, and May soybean
meal closed down $.40 per ton at $314.90. May Chicago wheat closed 2.00
cents at $6.0700. June live cattle closed up $1.43 at $240.20. May crude
oil is up $3.24 per barrel at $102.88. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
is up 50 points at 45,216, with the NASDAQ down 154 points at 20,795.