Monday, October 9, 2023

Monday Morning Dairy Market Update - Overnight Milk Futures Point Higher

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: 4 to 8 Higher
Class IV Milk Futures: 4 to 8 Higher
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Higher

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 3 to 4 Higher
Soybean Futures: 6 to 8 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $2 to $3 Higher
Wheat Futures: 8 to 10 Higher

MILK:

Class III milk futures had a nice bounce at the end of last week, but the question is whether that will continue. Underlying cash showed some strength, but sellers continue to offer supply to the market. An increase in demand would turn buyers aggressive purchasing was sellers have to offer and then some. Milk production is steady to slowly improved as the hot weather is now behind and cow comfort has improved. Some milk plants continue to take a hard line on milk production, not allowing for any expansions or significant increases in production on existing facilities. Others are allowing expansions and increased production. The current supply is sufficient for demand.

CHEESE:

Cheese has yet to find solid support with the usual buying interest in September not being sufficient to support the market. There could be some increased buying interest this month if demand improves and buyers want to increase ownership ahead of the holiday season.

BUTTER:

The buying interest in butter has been a sight to behold. Buyers remain aggressive even at record prices. The large decline of inventory in August was a surprise with a continued strong decline in September possible. This set the stage for the current market. The current market is real and there does not seem to be a void under it. However, it will come to an end at some time.




Wednesday Closing Dairy Market Update - September Fluid Milk Sales Decline 1.6%

MILK: Class III showed volatility this week but closed near the levels of the end of last week. Class IV futures closed lower as fur...