Monday, August 16, 2021

Monday Morning Dairy Market Update - Further Strength Anticipated

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: 3 to 8 Higher
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: Mixed
Soybean Futures: 2 to 4 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: Mixed
Wheat Futures: 5 to 9 Higher

MILK:

The expectation is for follow-through buying Monday as more liquidation of short positions may develop. However, there is still an attitude of bearishness that has not been put to rest. The sharp rally from late June through mid-July followed by a sharp decline is still fresh on trader's minds. Cooler weather is in store for some of the nation, which should relieve some of the stress on cattle and improve the potential for milk production.

CHEESE:

All of the price loss of blocks since May 12 have been regained with a strong potential for price to move higher. Buyers seem intent on purchasing supply for fall and holiday demand. Increasing cheese prices are again bringing buyers in from the sidelines. Time of year would suggest this price increase is for real and may be sustained.

BUTTER:

Price continues to follow a down-trending pattern without the support needed to break that pattern. Churning has been active, but at reduced levels as some plants are selling cream rather than churning in order to limit inventory growth. However, that may begin to change as demand should improve through the end of the year.




Monday Closing Dairy Market Update - Traders Stay Away from the Market

MILK: Traders held Class III futures rather consistently throughout much of the day, with pressure on the nearby months and higher l...