| Class III Milk Futures: |
Mixed |
| Class IV Milk Futures: |
Mixed |
| Butter Futures: |
Steady to 1 Lower |
| Corn Futures: |
2 to 5 Higher |
| Soybean Futures: |
6 to 9 Higher |
| Soybean Meal Futures: |
$3 to $5 Lower |
| Wheat Futures: |
2 to 5 Higher |
Class III futures made a significant rebound
Thursday, following the strength of cheese prices. Cheese buyers took
advantage of the dip of prices to further increase ownership of cheese
for future demand. Class IV futures moved in the opposite direction,
seeing significant losses as both butter and nonfat dry milk spot prices
declined. Even though the outlook for milk supply has improved due to a
substantial increase in cow numbers from February, buyers and sellers
are doing business as they need to from day to day. Milk futures may see
further upside moving into the weekend as demand remains strong from
both bottling and manufacturing. Dairy cattle slaughter during the first
quarter of the year totaled 825,000 head, down 2.3% from the same
period last year. The governor of Oregon signed into law a bill
requiring farmers to pay workers time and a half after 55 hours
beginning in 2023 and incrementally dropping to 40 hours in 2027. This
may create significant hardships for some as farmers adjust to the law.
This may be something that could continue to be implemented in other
states.
Buyers may remain aggressive Friday as the
rebound of prices could cause further buyer interest as they want to
take advantage of the price dip. Cheese prices could remain sideways at
best as supply and demand may be more balanced at the present time.
International demand remains strong with U.S. dairy products competitive
on the world market. USDA will release the March Cold Storage report.
The area to watch will be whether American cheese inventory will
increase from February.
Price fell to the lowest level it has been
since March 4 and poised to break below the bottom of the sideways
trading range. Churning remains active with sufficient cream available
even though ice cream production is increasing. Butter inventory is
expected to increase from February on the report Friday.