Monday, February 23, 2026

Monday Morning Dairy Market Update - Mixed Futures Price Activity Ahead of Spot Trading

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Higher

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Lower
Soybean Futures: 6 to 9 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: $4 to $5 Lower
Wheat Futures: 3 to 4 Lower

MILK:

The milk production report was released Friday and showed continued strong milk production, production per cow, and higher cow numbers. The addition of 14,000 cows in the country indicates the retention of cows continues. With the recent increase in milk futures pointing to the potential for higher milk prices, the desire to hold onto cows will continue. Not only the potential for higher milk production, but also the continued high prices for calves. The USDA will release the January Monthly Cold Storage report on Tuesday, providing a good picture of demand for the month.

CHEESE:

Traders will be cautious due to the weakness of the block cheese price on Friday. This may indicate buyers have reached a threshold. If they are unwilling to bid higher to purchase cheese, sellers may become more aggressive as they want to sell at the highest price possible. This could push the price lower again.

BUTTER:

It is uncertain how much potential the market has after the substantial gains of last week. The government has indicated it will purchase $75 million of butter for food banks. This seems to have spurred the recent buying in the spot butter market. This purchase may now be factored in with limited upside potential from here.  




Monday Closing Dairy Market Update - Dairy Cattle Slaughter Declines

GENERAL OVERVIEW: Milk futures were mixed, with contracts mostly lower in Class III and mixed in Class IV. Class IV futures did not ...