Monday, October 6, 2025

Monday Morning Dairy Market Update - Traders Anticipate Stronger Cash

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: 4 to 6 Higher
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Higher

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Higher
Soybean Futures: 3 to 4 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: Steady to $1 Lower
Wheat Futures: 1 to 2 Higher

MILK:

Spot dairy prices have provided good support to Class III milk futures. It seems that delayed seasonal price strength has kicked in, providing support to milk futures prices. It is uncertain whether this support may continue for an extended duration or if it will be short-lived and follow a seasonal pattern. At least the price outlook has been improved by the recent strength of the underlying cash. Class IV futures have found support, but not to the extent that Class III futures have. Spot cheese prices had increased quite a bit more than butter did last week. There may be further upside price potential for spot prices this week until buyers have purchased enough for current needs and seasonal demand.

CHEESE:

Cheese prices have made significant gains, remaining in the wide sideways range they have been in since November. It seems unlikely that cheese prices will move above this top end of the trading range and surpass the previous high of $1.88 set in August.

BUTTER:

The butter price seems to have found support and may be developing a sideways trading pattern. Manufacturers are focusing on retail butter production rather than bulk production. There are sufficient bulk supplies readily available to the market.




Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - October Milk Production Increased 3.7%

GENERAL OVERVIEW: Class III milk futures closed under pressure due to the declining cheese and dry whey prices. October milk producti...