Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Tuesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Limited Trading Activity Ahead of Cash

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 2 to 3 Higher
Soybean Futures: 6 to 8 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $2 to $3 Higher
Wheat Futures: Steady to 2 Higher

MILK:

Trading activity is expected to be limited ahead of cash trade as the market has already adjusted to Friday's activity. There is also some uncertainty about the January Milk Production report that will be released Wednesday. Generally, the report is not a market mover, but it will be watched more closely and may influence the market more than usual. The change in cow numbers is likely the aspect of the report that will be watched the most. Milk production is holding well in much of the country with many areas reporting component values are running ahead of last year.

CHEESE:

The inverted block/barrel spread is not likely to continue for an extended period, but the weakness of blocks carries more weight as that is what is traded on the daily spot market. Cheese output remains strong with cheese demand slower than a few weeks ago. This may keep upside potential limited.

BUTTER:

Butter prices have had good support and may see further support as the Easter season approaches. Overall demand is good at the retail level. Food service demand is termed as steady. Churning is active with some plants trying to build inventory, which is being frozen for later demand. Cream supply remains plentiful.




Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - 2024 Milk Production Lower, But Herd Size Growing

MILK: Class III milk futures lost over 80 cents on the March contract this week, while Class IV lost over $1.40 from this time last week. We...