Wednesday, September 22, 2021

Wednesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Further Strength Expected

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: 4 to 8 Higher
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Lower

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 2 to 4 Higher
Soybean Futures: 1 to 3 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Lower
Wheat Futures: 5 to 8 Higher

MILK:

Traders felt more positive about the market Tuesday due to the rebound of blocks cheese as well as the friendly Milk Production report. Added to that was an overall increase of the Global Dairy Trade auction price average. However, further support needs to develop in order to keep prices moving higher. Milk futures have little premium in contracts with traders seeing no need to keep extra premium in those contracts. The inability of underlying cash to establish a clear trend has left traders with an overall bearish attitude. The market will need to prove itself through increased demand and/or tightening milk supply. The August Milk Production report may be indicating that milk production may be slowing. The Cold Storage report Wednesday may show increasing demand.

CHEESE:

Blocks rebounded Tuesday with barrels trying to do the same. However, barrels slipped back after initially trading higher. The positive aspect was that it did not decline. Buyers may be more active again today as the strength Tuesday in blocks might result in sellers to hold back and wait for higher prices.

BUTTER:

Price has been in trouble over the past week retreating significantly from the high. The steady uptrend has been negated. Sellers remain aggressive looking at moving product rather than holding in the anticipation of stronger prices.




Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - 2024 Milk Production Lower, But Herd Size Growing

MILK: Class III milk futures lost over 80 cents on the March contract this week, while Class IV lost over $1.40 from this time last week. We...