Friday, June 11, 2021

Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - Relatively Quiet Week Ends With Milk in Sideways Pattern

MILK:

Milk production is variable across the country, but it is the general consensus that spring flush has passed its peak. The hot weather has impacted milk production to some extent and is variable depending on cooling systems on individual dairy operations. Some have reported milk production is still holding while other report a reduction in output. This is somewhat expected every year, but the fact that it is taking place this early in the summer raises concern over what the rest of the summer will hold. Class III milk futures this week have not been very volatile and have moved generally in a sideways pattern. This could indicate the market has found a level of comfort, but one can ever be certain of anything. There has been some anticipation more concern would be evident due to higher feed prices and the potential for reduced milk production. However, this has not spurred any increasing aggressive buyer interest for the cash market. USDA still anticipates milk production to increase this year and again next year. The month of May still held varying level of negative Producer Price Differentials (PPD). The upper Midwest Order 30 had a negative PPD of $1.44 for May.

AVERAGE CLASS III PRICES:

3 Month: $17.73
6 Month: $18.28
9 Month: $18.24
12 Month: $18.15

CHEESE:

Cheese output remains strong as milk supply is plentiful. Extra milk from the school system has moved to manufacturing. Even with milk receipts decreasing in many areas, the extra milk continues to leave sufficient supply to meet demand. In some cases, extra milk is being offered to manufacturing at a discount to class. For the week, block price remained unchanged with 29 loads traded. Barrels gained 6.25 cents with 23 loads traded. Dry whey gained 2.50 cents with three loads traded.

BUTTER:

It is reported that butter demand is about back to where it was prior to the pandemic last year. Food service demand has level off as the pipeline has been replenished. Levels will just need to be maintained. Cream continues to be available for churning needs, keeping production steady. There is some indication inventory is building, but that has not impacted price. For the week, butter gained 1.75 cents with 17 loads traded. Grade A nonfat dry milk increased 4 cents with 19 loads traded.

OUTSIDE MARKETS SUMMARY:

July corn fell 14.50 cents, closing at $6.8450. July soybeans fell 35.50 cents, ending at $15.0850 with July soybean meal up $1.70 per ton, closing at $383.30. July wheat declined 3 cents, ending at $6.8075. June live cattle jumped $1.12, ending at $118.70. July crude oil gained $0.62, closing at $70.91 per barrel. The DOW is 13 points higher at 34,480 while the NASDAQ is 49 points higher at 14,069.




Monday Morning Dairy Market Update - Cash Uncertainty Will Dominate Early Trade

OPENING CALLS: Class III Milk Futures: Mixed Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed B...