Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Wednesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Traders May Take a Wait and See Attitude

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: 2 to 5 Lower
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Higher
Soybean Futures: 2 to 3 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $2 to $3 Higher
Wheat Futures: 1 to 3 Lower

MILK:

The volatility in block cheese on Tuesday caused traders to question whether the market will trend higher or settle into a sideways trading range. It seems Class III futures overreacted to the price swing as the end result was only a loss of a penny. However, traders may step back until cheese prices become less erratic. Milk production is sufficient for demand with any extra milk available commanding prices above class on the spot market. The January contract is mostly priced by the trade and may see limited movement on a daily basis. The price will correct, based on the weekly AMS prices released on Wednesday afternoon.

CHEESE:

It is clearly seen that buyers want to take advantage of a dip in prices while sellers take advantage of higher prices. It is interesting that the volatility in spot block trading on Tuesday was the result of only two loads traded. Cheese prices may move in a sideways range for a time.

BUTTER:

The trend is up in butter, but it may be a slow increase. Buyers have been able to purchase what they need without having to chase the market. Cream supply remains abundant keeping churn active and butter available for demand. Some is being added to inventory to ensure a cushion of supply in case the availability of milk tightens as the year progresses.




Wednesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Traders May Take a Wait and See Attitude

OPENING CALLS: Class III Milk Futures: Mixed Class IV Milk Futures: 2 to 5 Lower ...