Friday, December 6, 2024

Friday Morning Dairy Market Update - Mixed Prices and Limited Volatility Expected

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Higher
Soybean Futures: Mixed
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Lower
Wheat Futures: 1 to 2 Lower

MILK:

The divergence of Class III futures on Thursday with deferred contracts showing significant strength was likely a market correction. Later contracts were under pressure when cheese prices increased, and nearby contracts showed strength. The market needed to move back in line with the usual correlation futures maintained through the end of the year. Futures did not change much overnight on limited trading activity. Traders will be cautious before spot trading but may maintain a negative bias due to Thursday's cheese price weakness.

CHEESE:

Sellers may remain aggressive Friday as the weakness of cheese prices on Thursday may result in increased selling interest as they want to take advantage of some of the recent price gains to move product. Immediate orders may have been filled with no further buying interest at current prices. Steady to higher cheese production will keep sufficient supply available to the market.

BUTTER:

Butter may have reached a high as buyers may not be willing to pay more for butter than the current price. There is no shortage of butter and buyers are unwilling to build inventory at this time of year. They will continue to purchase butter, when necessary, rather than pay for storage. Churning remains active.




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