Wednesday, November 6, 2024

Wednesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Dairy Markets Continue to Struggle

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 2 to 3 Lower
Soybean Futures: 17 to 20 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: $4 to $6 Lower
Wheat Futures: 7 to 9 Lower

MILK:

Milk futures do not have much support. Nearby Class III futures have erased all of the gains since mid-July with December Class III futures nearing the $19.00 level. Demand for dairy products has been good but has not increased as anticipated moving toward the end of the year. Even though cheese inventory is below a year ago, milk production has been stronger than expected. Cow numbers have not decreased as anticipated. The impact of bird flu has not been as great as expected. Consumer demand has not improved due to high food prices and not only food prices, but also the cost of durable goods and services. The weakness of prices at this time of year is concerning as this is the higher demand period.

CHEESE:

Cheese buyers continue to hold back in the spot market anticipating further weakness. Manufacturers continue to offer cheese to keep it moving rather than leaving it in inventory and hope for a higher price. Prices should be near a level at which buyers may feel comfortable and will take advantage of the low prices.

BUTTER:

The butter price may be in a precarious position as demand from food service is lighter than usual, and inventory continues to grow relative to a year ago. Retail demand is improving but may not be sufficient to offset the increased production due to heavy cream supplies. This could put further pressure on the butter price over time.



Wednesday Closing Dairy Market Update - GDT Trade-weighted Average Increased by 4.8%

MILK It was another rough day for Class III futures. The weakness of cheese prices put further pressure on futures with contracts po...