Friday, July 5, 2024

Friday Morning Dairy Market Update - Light Trading Activity Expected

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Higher
Soybean Futures: 4 to 6 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $2 to $3 Higher
Wheat Futures: Mixed

MILK:

Milk output will be impacted as hot weather is predicted in many areas. Weather seasonally impacts milk production, but some forecasts call for extreme heat with record-high temperatures. Farms have made great strides in implementing systems to keep cows cool but hot weather still has an impact. That may or may not impact the availability or price of milk depending on demand. Traders may wait to see how demand unfolds before they buy milk futures more aggressively. Underlying cash prices have been choppy over the past few weeks leaving traders scalping the market rather than taking long-term positions. Trading activity is expected to be light after the holiday.

CHEESE:

Cheese prices have been choppy and are expected to remain that way near-term. Buyers and sellers are taking care of business as they see fit and have not been buying aggressively for demand later in the year. Sufficient cheese supply leaves buyers comfortable and not concerned over any supply tightness.

BUTTER:

The cream supply is tightening as hot weather impacts milk production and butterfat content. Ice cream and the production of other Class II products have increased creating greater competition for available supplies. This may provide continued support to the market.



August Milk Production in the United States down 0.1 Percent

August Milk Production up 0.1 Percent          Milk production in the 24 major States during August totaled 18.1 billion pounds, up 0.1 perc...