Thursday, January 18, 2024

Thursday Morning Dairy Market Update - Traders Take the Night Off

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Higher
Soybean Futures: 6 to 8 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Higher
Wheat Futures: 1 to 2 Lower

MILK:

Milk futures seem to have no direction. Underlying cash continues to chop around leaving traders guessing on price direction. The longer underlying cash prices continue to chop around, nearby Class III futures erode. Class IV futures are faring better as butter price is higher and price has not seen quite the choppiness as cheese has. There will be another large difference between the January Class III and Class IV prices as much of the pricing has now been factored in. Much of the price movement will take place when the weekly AMS prices are released, and traders adjust price expectations based on those numbers. Milk production has stabilized during this past week as the weather has eliminated further gains. The pickup of milk and the delivery of dairy products is back on track for the most part.

CHEESE:

There is concern over the supply of cheese which leaves buyers less aggressive on the spot market. Cheese inventory is reported to be holding steady. This has been the goal of manufacturers and why they have remained aggressive on the spot market. They want to limit inventory build with storage and interest costs where they currently are.

BUTTER:

Butter manufacturers have turned their attention to production for Easter and spring needs. Much of the needs for the first quarter are contracted and in place to be shipped. Plentiful cream supplies will keep production strong. Some cream is being frozen for later use due to the excess volume.




Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - 2024 Milk Production Lower, But Herd Size Growing

MILK: Class III milk futures lost over 80 cents on the March contract this week, while Class IV lost over $1.40 from this time last week. We...