Monday, January 8, 2024

Monday Morning Dairy Market Update - Overnight Trading Was Very Active

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: 4 to 10 Lower
Butter Futures: 1 to 2 Lower

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: Mixed
Soybean Futures: 3 to 4 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: Steady to $1 Higher
Wheat Futures: 9 to 11 Lower

MILK:

Overnight activity was unusually large with contract through December actively traded. Only February through April contracts were steady to higher with some months during the second half of the year showing double-digit losses. It seems traders are intent on removing more of the premium later contracts contain as the outlook for stronger prices wanes. Milk production is expected to remain strong for a longer period than anticipated. Milk output is below year earlier levels but remains sufficient for demand as demand has not exceeded year-earlier levels. The winter storm system that will be moving across the country again this week is not expected to have much impact on production or the movement of milk. There may be some delivery delays but that is usual during the winter. It is uncertain whether it will have much impact on demand.

CHEESE:

Prices are not expected to show much of anything different than what we have seen. The market is expected to remain choppy with price increases likely limited. It is the time of year during which demand is slower and inventory builds.

BUTTER:

Price may weaken further Monday as buyers hold back due to the weakness Friday. Increased butter production will keep supply readily available for demand. This may result in price retesting the previous low price from mid-December.




Monday Closing Dairy Market Update - More States Show Milk Production Gains

MILK: Numerous Class IV contracts closed with double-digit losses. Some nearby contracts have fallen to the lowest level in about a ...