Tuesday, May 23, 2023

Tuesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Cash Trade to Set Direction

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Lower
Soybean Futures: 4 to 8 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Lower
Wheat Futures: 4 to 6 Lower

MILK:

It may be difficult for milk futures to see further gains ahead of spot trading as traders will be cautious over a third day of gains for cheese. That would defy the recent pattern and possibly trigger further buying interest in milk futures. The current milk supply is plentiful, which keeps bottling and manufacturing satisfied. Schools have already closed or will be closing for the summer over the next two weeks. This will move more milk to manufacturing, keeping supply of dairy products readily available.

CHEESE:

Cheese buyers have been more aggressive over the past two days, but will they remain aggressive for a third day? Sellers continue to bring loads to the spot market and higher prices might increase the desire to sell more supply. Dry whey continues to show weakness, moving price below the level it was when dry whey began trading on the daily CME spot market in March of 2018. Prior to that, prices were recorded in the week NASS price reports.

BUTTER:

Price still holds at the top end of the trading range but unable to find continued support to allow the market to trend higher. Supply and demand are balanced with buyers and sellers comfortable. Churning remains active with some plants running on full seven-day weeks.




Tuesday Closing Dairy Market Update - Milk Futures Close Under Pressure

MILK Class III milk futures saw substantial price swings from overnight trade to the closing of the day trade. Traders took advantag...