Friday, December 10, 2021

Friday Morning Dairy Market Update - Trader More Cautious Ahead of Cash

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 3 Lower
Soybean Futures: Mixed
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Higher
Wheat Futures: 2 to 5 Higher

MILK:

Class III milk futures fell back from their highs Thursday after spot trading. Traders seemed to focus on the weakness of barrels after 10 days of higher prices rather than the strength of blocks and dry whey. Milk futures have had an impressive run higher with gains of over $1.00 per cwt in nearby months over the course of the past week. Caution will be exercised prior to spot trading Friday leaving activity somewhat light. Traders have digested the news of late last week when USDA announced the appropriation of money for further food purchases. They realized it was not as bullish as initially thought. Milk production has been slowing as farms adjust to high feed prices as well as other inputs. However, USDA estimates milk production next year will be higher than this year, but only by 1.3 billion pounds.

CHEESE:

It was a surprise that the strength of blocks and dry whey Thursday was not able to keep Class III futures supported. Dry whey moved to a new high since it began trading on the spot market in March 2018, and the highest price in the past nine years. There is concern demand may drop off over the next few weeks.

BUTTER:

The weakness of butter the past two days may be temporary even though holiday orders may be filled. Lower butter output and strong demand has reduced inventory. Buyers have turned their attention to the potential for demand next year. Exports continue to remain strong.




Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - USDA Shows Little Change in Milk Prices

MILK December and later Class III milk contracts closed the day hovering around the $19.00 level. Underlying cash prices show no rea...