Friday, September 17, 2021

Friday Morning Livestock Market Update - Uncertainty Surrounds the Market

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Steady to 5 Lower
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Lower

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: Steady to 2 Lower
Soybean Futures: 5 to 9 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Lower
Wheat Futures: Mixed

MILK:

Class III futures have little, if any, premium in contracts through the next year. This will not change unless cheese price can establish a solid uptrend. The concern is what underlying cash will do over the next few months. If fall and holiday demand is not able to push prices higher, milk prices at the end of the year and early next year may be lower than milk futures currently indicate. Strong milk production continues to satisfy demand for bottling and manufacturing.

CHEESE:

Steady cheese prices Thursday left traders without direction. That uncertainty carried through overnight. Trading activity may be limited until spot trading again. It was positive that prices did not fall back, but it is negative that they were not able to increase.

BUTTER:

Price is still in an uptrend, but further weakness could change that. Churning activity has slowed due to tighter cream supply and higher prices for cream. This makes plants less willing to purchase additional cream for churning. This results in more inventory being used to satisfy demand. Reducing inventory should support price.




Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - USDA Raises Milk Production

MILK: Class III milk futures suffered a large setback in response to the decline in cheese prices. Despite the decline, the block ch...