Thursday, October 2, 2025

Thursday Morning Dairy Market Update - Late Support May Be Developing

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: 2 to 5 Higher
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: Mixed
Soybean Futures: 1 to 2 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: $0.50 to $1 Lower
Wheat Futures: 1 to 2 Higher

MILK:

Class III milk futures through the end of the year have increased around $1.00 per cwt over the past week, supported by higher cheese prices. It is uncertain whether this is a change in trend. Historically, the market reaches its peak in October, but this year has been anything but usual. Cow numbers continue to increase, with milk production per cow significantly higher than a year ago. This has kept the milk supply sufficient for demand. Dairy farms have retained more cows to keep the barns full rather than purchasing replacement heifers at a cost of more than $4,000. It is good to see the recent strength in the market, and hopefully, we are seeing delayed seasonal strength.

CHEESE:

Cheese prices have increased for three consecutive days. Buyer interest has improved while sellers have held back. The barrel price has been increasing with no sellers showing up during spot trading. Cheese production has been slowly increasing due to an increase in milk receipts at the plant level.

BUTTER:

The butter price may be developing a sideways trading range for the time being. Buyers have been more aggressive as they take advantage of the low price. Butter production has been increasing due to increasing cream supplies.




Wednesday Closing Dairy Market Update - Light Trading Activity Resulted in Limited Volatility

OVERVIEW: Class III futures price movement was rather uneventful. Trading volume was very light as traders saw insufficient volatili...