Thursday, July 24, 2025

Thursday Morning Dairy Market Update - Milk Futures May Find Some Stability

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Lower

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 2 to 3 Higher
Soybean Futures: 3 to 5 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $0.50 to $1 Higher
Wheat Futures: 1 to 3 Higher

MILK:

Milk futures took a beating on Wednesday as traders reacted to the bearish milk production report. The underlying cash cheese prices held steady, but dry whey declined, adding to the negativity. Butter fell to a two-month low, pressuring Class IV futures. The liquidation may have run its course with some traders buying into the market in anticipation that it is overdone to the downside. Continued strong milk production will assure a sufficient supply of milk. This may keep milk prices low throughout the rest of the year. USDA will release the June Livestock Slaughter report this afternoon, which is expected to show lower dairy cattle slaughter for the month.

CHEESE:

It is uncertain whether cheese prices will find support as prices have held steady over the past days. The buyers and sellers have not been aggressive, potentially indicating the market is balanced. Even if cheese prices increase, the upside may be limited as sufficient milk is available for manufacturing.

BUTTER:

The weakness of butter keeps buyers unaggressive and willing to wait for lower prices before purchasing more supply. The low price will keep U.S. butter competitive on the world market. This will result in continued strong exports. Domestic demand is steady overall.




Friday Closing Dairy Market Update - July Milk Cow Inventory Highest Since 1995

OVERVIEW: Class III futures closed mixed, while Class IV contracts showed no trading activity throughout the day. The June Livestock...