Thursday, June 12, 2025

Thursday Morning Dairy Market Update - Milk Futures Lack Support

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Higher

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Higher
Soybean Futures: 2 to 4 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Higher
Wheat Futures: 1 to 2 Higher

MILK:

Milk futures have not been able to find a bottom with Class III contracts nearly eliminating the gains since the beginning of May. Traders have had little to get excited about as underlying cash has been unable to trend higher. The higher prices seen a few weeks ago have evaporated, but that has not dampened the interest of farmers to maintain cow numbers and improve milk production. USDA will release the World Agricultural Supply and Demand (WASDE) report this morning. The report contains USDA's estimates for milk production, milk prices and dairy product prices for this year and 2026.

CHEESE:

Retail cheese demand is improving, but it has not been enough to offset the increasing cheese production; otherwise, cash prices would be trending higher. Cheese buyers see no need to be aggressive as the supply keeps up with demand. Buyers are purchasing what comes to the spot market without being concerned about supply.

BUTTER:

The butter price seems to have found a level where buyers and sellers are comfortable and may remain sideways. However, strong export demand and improving retail demand should support the market. Churning remains active but is expected to slow as summer weather impacts milk output and component values.




Wednesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Traders Search for Price Direction

OPENING CALLS: Class III Milk Futures: Mixed Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed B...