Thursday, October 24, 2024

Thursday Morning Dairy Market Update - Traders Search for Further Direction

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Higher

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 2 to 3 Higher
Soybean Futures: 5 to 7 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: Mixed
Wheat Futures: Mixed

MILK:

Milk futures may have a difficult time recovering from the recent losses. Underlying cash prices are not rebounding as hoped with buyers of cheese unaggressive with purchases. Milk production in September was higher than expected with August higher than expected after the USDA released the revision and adjusted production up 0.5%. This should have already been in the market, but traders reacted negatively. Buyers of cheese and butter have not reacted to the report but continue to take care of business as they see fit. The increased reports of bird flu primarily in California have not had much impact on the market. It has not caused concern over supply for now. The milk production report was bearish while the cold storage report to be released on Friday might be bullish and reverse some of the negativity in the market.

CHEESE:

Cheese prices may have difficulty moving much above $2.00 unless demand improves. Overall restaurant traffic has decreased slightly, having some impact on dairy product demand. Cheese exports remain strong with August exports up 14.8% over August 2023. Cheese exports for the first eight months of the year are 21.6% above the same period last year.

BUTTER:

The butter price is expected to chop around in a range with buyer interest being satisfied as sellers continue to offer loads to the market. Churning is active providing sufficient supply of fresh butter to meet demand while limiting the amount of inventory required to meet that demand.




Tuesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Limited Trade Activity Expected

OPENING CALLS: Class III Milk Futures: 2 to 5 Lower Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed ...