Wednesday, November 29, 2023

Wednesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Markets Are Expected to Drift

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Steady to 5 Higher
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Higher

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: Steady to 1 lower
Soybean Futures: 1 to 3 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Higher
Wheat Futures: 4 to 6 Higher

MILK:

There just does not seem to be anything to get traders excited about in the dairy markets. Milk production is seasonally increasing. This allows for sufficient milk supply to meet the needs of both bottling and manufacturing. Buyers of cheese and butter are not concerned over supply. Dry whey and nonfat dry milk prices continue to hold in a range. Futures are expected to be choppy likely through the end of the year as they react to underlying cash trade. Traders will be cautious over any price strength as it tends to be short-lived. USDA will release the November Federal Order class prices this afternoon.

CHEESE:

The weakness of barrels yesterday does not indicate cheese prices will move lower, but that potential is there. There are some concerns prices could fall back near the lows of early July. The inability of price to increase during the holiday buying season is a cause for concern. Choppy trade may continue with traders remaining bearish overall.

BUTTER:

Buyers were looking for butter yesterday to fill orders. Unfilled bids remaining at the close could suggest further buying could push price higher until the demand is met. Price could then move back as sellers will continue to bring supply to the market rather than store it. Active butter production will continue to supply the market.




Tuesday Closing Dairy Market Update - Global Dairy Trade Gains 1.8 Percent

MILK Milk futures are in line with underlying cash and moving in relationship with it. Futures did not move substantially outside of...