Monday, October 30, 2023

Monday Morning Dairy Market Update - Underlying Cash to Set Further Direction

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Steady to 1 Lower

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 1 to 2 Lower
Soybean Futures: 3 to 5 Higher
Soybean Meal Futures: $2 to $4 Lower
Wheat Futures: 5 to 7 Lower

MILK:

Class III milk futures are scrapping near the lows again after a nice rally earlier in the month. It may be difficult to see further price strength as we move into November soon. The current milk supply is sufficient for demand, leaving little concern over supply. Maybe there could be a greater surge in demand in November, which could increase prices as buyers would need to step up purchases. However, any price increases may be short lived as we move closer to the holidays.

CHEESE:

Steady cheese prices Friday will leave traders cautious ahead of spot trading. Buyers have been lowering their bids for cheese with sellers moving to meet those bids. Sellers want to move supply, leaving buyers less aggressive and able to purchase at lower prices. Dry whey has been the only category showing strong support.

BUTTER:

Price will likely erode further this week as many of the orders for the holidays have been placed and butter is in position to fill those orders. Butter output has been increasing as cream is becoming more available. September inventory above a year ago is a concern, which may pressure price further. 




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