Thursday, October 13, 2022

Thursday Morning Dairy Market Update - Underlying Cash Prices Fluctuate

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: Mixed
Soybean Futures: Steady to 2 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: $1 to $2 Higher
Wheat Futures: 1 to 3 Higher

MILK:

Class III milk futures rebounded from the lower end of the trading range as cheese prices increased. However, there was no follow through overnight. Prices may have limited upside potential while underlying cash remains choppy. Overall milk production is termed as steady having surpassed the low levels of the year. Production should slowly improve as cooler weather impacts feed intake and cow comfort. The World Agricultural Supply and Demand report showed estimates for higher milk prices from the previous report, but estimated prices are substantially lower next year than estimated for this year. Hopefully, the cost of production will decline as well. However, the report was friendly for grain prices which could tighten income over feed further. Milk futures are expected to remain choppy

CHEESE:

Cheese buyers needed to obtain product yesterday with more aggressive buying. Even though prices increased, there is sufficient supply to meet demand. This may keep prices fluctuating within a range for much of the rest of the month. The inability of price to trend higher during this time of year is concerning indicating sufficient supply for demand. Prices could come under pressure once much of the early holiday buying is finished.

BUTTER:

Price is expected to continue to hold as demand remains good and supplies are lower than last year. More cream is becoming available as ice cream production slows. However, Class II product production has increased by utilizing some of the extra cream.




Tuesday Morning Dairy Market Update - Overnight Milk Futures Show Strong Gains

OPENING CALLS: Class III Milk Futures: 15 to 20 Higher Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed ...