Friday, May 27, 2022

Friday Morning Dairy Market Update - Choppy Trading Activity Expected

OPENING CALLS:

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: Mixed
Soybean Futures: 2 to 5 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: Steady to $1 Lower
Wheat Futures: 4 to 8 Higher

MILK:

Class III futures have declined so far this week, but not as much as would have been anticipated given the weakness of cheese prices. Some of the decline was already factored in with some support stemming from ongoing optimism. Class IV futures have strengthened during the week with ongoing support from butter and nonfat dry milk. Milk production is either holding steady or continuing to improve, depending on the location in the country. Reports are that components are good and in some cases above year-ago levels. The school year is winding down with nearly all schools being closed by the end of next week. Manufacturing is receiving more milk. Markets will be closed on Monday for the Memorial Day holiday.

CHEESE:

The action of spot cheese trading Thursday does not suggest a rebound in prices Friday. Spot prices could be steady or mixed as prices may be low enough to establish a level at which buyers will be interested in purchasing more aggressively. More milk available for manufacturing will put more cheese on the market. However, increased production will not overwhelm supply.

BUTTER:

The slight weakness of spot butter Thursday could open the door for further decline as buyers may step back a bit as the buying frenzy may have run its course for now. Food service demand is holding well while there is some weakness seen in retail demand. Butter futures hold a discount to cash.




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