Thursday, August 26, 2021

Thursday Morning Dairy Market Update - Limited Futures Movement Prior to Cash Trade

OPENING CALLS

Class III Milk Futures: Mixed
Class IV Milk Futures: Mixed
Butter Futures: Mixed

OUTSIDE MARKET OPENING CALLS:

Corn Futures: 2 to 4 Lower
Soybean Futures: 2 to 5 Lower
Soybean Meal Futures: Steady to $1 Higher
Wheat Futures: 6 to 9 Higher

MILK:

The September contract is being priced but remains open for substantial volatility if underlying cash moves significantly. However, underlying cash does not seem to have much potential for large price swings. Milk supply is sufficient for demand even with more milk moving to school accounts. Milk receipts at plants are declining seasonally. This should provide some support to the market, but it may not be enough to cause any concern for buyers. Trade is expected to be light with limited price movement prior to spot trading.

CHEESE:

Cheese prices are no better than they were early this year. There has been some volatility, but overall, prices have remained in a range. This is a large contrast to the volatility of last year. Current fundamentals suggest there may be limited upside potential for cheese prices through the rest of the year.

BUTTER:

Price may be trying to stairstep higher, but a higher trend may be slow to unfold. Supply is plentiful. Some plants have been limiting production by selling some cream back to the market rather than churn in order to limit inventory growth. However, demand should improve as the year progresses, which will pull inventory lower.



 

Monday Closing Dairy Market Update - Dairy Product Production Report Is Supportive to the Market

MILK Class III milk futures turned quickly once it set a bottom and has not looked back. Cheese buyers have been aggressive as some ...