Class III futures closed mixed while Class IV
futures showed strong gains. Milk futures moved in line with cash and
made more sense than they did on Wednesday. The May Cold Storage report
was about as expected. May dairy cattle slaughter was less than
expected.
The trading volume was significantly lower
than on Wednesday. Steady cheese prices did not provide much incentive
for traders. Some areas see milk output over the spring flush peak,
while others have seen milk production declining steadily, yet output
remains higher than a year ago. Hotter weather is expected in many areas
of the country shortly, which will impact milk production and component
levels. Whether this could eventually tighten supplies remains to be
seen. Higher cow numbers and increased milk production may minimize the
impact on the overall supply. For the near term, expect the market to
remain bearish. The May Livestock Slaughter report was released, showing
dairy cattle slaughter totaling 191,700 head. This was 23,400 less than
April and 5,100 head less than in May 2025. This was the lowest May
slaughter since 2007. It was also the lowest monthly slaughter since
June 2024.
| 3 Month: |
$16.06 |
| 6 Month: |
$16.67 |
| 9 Month: |
$16.88 |
| 12 Month: |
$16.95 |
The May Cold Storage report showed American
cheese inventory increasing by 3.3 million pounds from April, totaling
816.9 million pounds. This is 2% below a year ago. Swiss cheese stocks
increased 1.2% from April, totaling 24.9 million pounds, up 10% from a
year earlier. Other cheese stocks increased 7.8%, totaling 581.2 million
pounds and nearly the same level as a year ago. Total cheese inventory
increased 12.3% to a level of 1.423 billion pounds. This was 1% below
April 2025.
Butter futures showed substantial gains in
response to the higher spot price on Wednesday and today. Strong buying
interest could continue on Friday if buyers who did not accomplish
business today turn more aggressive. Butter inventory during May
increased 27.7%, totaling 335.6 million pounds. This was 8% below May
2025.
July corn closed up 7.75 cents per bushel at
$4.1475, November soybeans closed up 22.00 cents at $11.5700, and July
soybean meal closed up $4.60 per ton at $308.20. September Chicago wheat
closed up 5.50 cents at $6.0150. August live cattle closed up $0.70 at
$247.23. August crude oil is up $1.10 per barrel at $71.44. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average is up 72 points at 51,921, with the NASDAQ down
118 points at 25,359.